The dismal decade (Part 6: Seven forces shaping 2030 #1- #3)

The dismal decade (Part 6: Seven forces shaping 2030 #1- #3) Phuah Eng Chye (29 June 2024) In my final articles for the blog, I have taken up the challenge of sketching out transitional scenarios to 2030. In this context, this decade stands out as a landmark for the global reset. The decade opened with … “The dismal decade (Part 6: Seven forces shaping 2030 #1- #3)”

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The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 14: The middle game –Instability and reset of world order and global governance)

The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 14: The middle game –Instability and reset of world order and global governance) Phuah Eng Chye (11 February 2022) The Russian invasion of Ukraine signalled a transition in the great power conflict from the opening phase into the middle game. The opening phase was characterised by preparatory and choreographed … The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 14: The middle game –Instability and reset of world order and global governance)

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The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 13: Mapping geopolitical alliances)

The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 13: Mapping geopolitical alliances) Phuah Eng Chye (14 January 2022) Changes in the geopolitical map are driven by structural forces. Sergey Glazyev thinks “we are now experiencing a simultaneous change in the technological and world economic structures, while the technological basis of the economy is changing, there is a … The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 13: Mapping geopolitical alliances)

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The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 12: Geopolitical Go)

The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 12: Geopolitical Go) Phuah Eng Chye (31 December 2022) Though US and China are the two main players, it is an error to frame the GEW as a Cold War or Thucydides Trap. The US, as the reigning hegemon, is naturally interested in maintaining status quo and finds it … The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 12: Geopolitical Go)

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The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 11: Differences between Cold War 1.0 and 2.0)

The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 11: Differences between Cold War 1.0 and 2.0) Phuah Eng Chye (17 December 2022) Many think a new Cold War has begun. On surface, the familiar cast of players and geographical boundaries seems to justify the comparison. US and Europe on one side, Russia and China on the other. … The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 11: Differences between Cold War 1.0 and 2.0)

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The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 10: The semiconductor technology battlefront)

The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 10: The semiconductor technology battlefront) Phuah Eng Chye (3 December 2022) The US reacts strongly when it feels its economic and technology leadership is threatened; as it did against Japan in the 1980s. China’s rapid economic growth and technology advance is now triggering a similar response. According to the … The Great Economic War (GEW) (Part 10: The semiconductor technology battlefront)

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